Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.425268 0.464323 0.506756 0.556531 0.613632 0.677474 0.754790
2025-10-26 0.353704 0.405826 0.466759 0.544240 0.641603 0.761959 0.925389
2025-11-02 0.310044 0.366994 0.436771 0.530402 0.655766 0.822558 1.070103
2025-11-09 0.280121 0.339374 0.414594 0.519843 0.668127 0.877889 1.214397
2025-11-16 0.257323 0.317625 0.396411 0.510541 0.678467 0.929172 1.361112
2025-11-23 0.239286 0.300048 0.381407 0.502867 0.688591 0.979865 1.516901
2025-11-30 0.229505 0.292461 0.378921 0.512148 0.724472 1.076100 1.777079
2025-12-07 0.217689 0.280967 0.369640 0.509831 0.741039 1.142099 1.998941
2025-12-14 0.207225 0.270520 0.360837 0.507000 0.755828 1.206859 2.238556
2025-12-21 0.195262 0.257089 0.346530 0.493882 0.750990 1.233583 2.401141
2025-12-28 0.190993 0.254516 0.348212 0.506581 0.793029 1.359475 2.854712
2026-01-04 0.186113 0.250666 0.347537 0.515101 0.828352 1.479056 3.351497
2026-01-11 0.179352 0.243824 0.342059 0.515523 0.849679 1.576397 3.851478
2026-01-18 0.170777 0.233796 0.330925 0.505152 0.848641 1.623210 4.222383
2026-01-25 0.162524 0.223830 0.319250 0.492749 0.841796 1.654688 4.562955
2026-02-01 0.155506 0.215435 0.309630 0.483247 0.839773 1.698169 4.987197
2026-02-08 0.149238 0.207920 0.301016 0.474867 0.839065 1.745270 5.470946
2026-02-15 0.143695 0.201295 0.293513 0.467948 0.840683 1.799519 6.044876
2026-02-22 0.141232 0.199472 0.293996 0.476315 0.877938 1.966613 7.417716
2026-03-01 0.137151 0.194829 0.289354 0.474227 0.890566 2.063872 8.537177
2026-03-08 0.133255 0.190315 0.284679 0.471676 0.901754 2.160529 9.832880
2026-03-15 0.128127 0.183570 0.275749 0.459842 0.888597 2.172664 10.509942
2026-03-22 0.126900 0.183227 0.278113 0.471298 0.935653 2.410805 13.796770